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AI is driving a growing productivity split that leaves laggard firms unable to match wages and attract talent

Executive summary: The efficiency differential between AI‑adopting firms and non‑adopters has more than doubled from 2022 to 2025, according to analysts cited in El País. This widening gap makes it difficult for laggard companies to sustain competitive wages and attract skilled personnel, raising the risk of obsolescence.

Who is involved: Analysts, firms that have deployed AI, firms that have not yet adopted AI, and the labor market.

Likely next: Continued AI investment by early adopters, potential policy or labor‑market responses, and further divergence in productivity and wage outcomes.

Analysts warn that the efficiency gap between companies using artificial intelligence and those that do not has more than doubled since 2022, putting pressure on laggard firms to raise wages or lose staff. The disparity threatens to render many businesses obsolete if they cannot adopt AI tools quickly enough. Workers are increasingly drawn to employers that offer AI‑enhanced workplaces, intensifying competition for talent. Unless non‑adopters accelerate AI integration, they face worsening cost structures and market share erosion.

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