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France proposes new EU-level levies to secure €60 billion for the upcoming seven-year budget

Executive summary: France has officially called for the creation of new EU-wide taxes to generate an estimated €60 billion for the next seven-year budgetary cycle. The proposal aims to address the massive funding requirements of the EU while shifting the burden away from direct national contributions, potentially altering fiscal sovereignty.

Who is involved: The French government and EU member state governments.

Likely next: Intense negotiations within the European Council as member states debate the resistance to new levies.

The French government is advocating for the implementation of new European Union taxes to bridge a €60 billion funding gap in the next long-term budget. This proposal faces significant friction as several member states are currently resisting new fiscal burdens to fund EU programs. The outcome will determine the fiscal architecture of the Union and the extent of centralized revenue generation.

What's next — scenarios

Base: Compromise on limited new levies (50%)

A partial agreement results in some new taxes (e.g., digital or green) covering a fraction of the €60B.

Upside: Full adoption of French proposal (15%)

EU centralized revenue increases significantly, providing stable funding for long-term projects.

Downside: Deadlock and budget shortfall (35%)

Member states reject all new taxes, leading to a reduced EU budget or increased national contributions.

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