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German Finance Ministry plans to tax cryptocurrency gains from January 2027, ending the current 12‑month tax‑free holding period

Executive summary: The German Federal Ministry of Finance is considering a new tax on cryptocurrency gains that would take effect 1 January 2027, removing the existing exemption for assets held more than twelve months. The change would increase tax liabilities for crypto investors, potentially influence trading volumes and asset prices, and provide additional revenue for the German budget.

Who is involved: German Federal Ministry of Finance, Cryptocurrency investors and traders, Crypto exchanges and wallet providers operating in Germany, Bundesrat and Bundestag (future legislative bodies)

Likely next: A draft amendment to the Income Tax Act (EStG) will be released for public consultation in Q4 2026, followed by parliamentary debate and a possible Bundesrat vote in mid‑2027.

According to Handelsblatt, the German Federal Ministry of Finance is preparing legislation that would treat profits from crypto assets held longer than a year as taxable income, a shift from the present rule that allows such gains to remain tax‑free after a one‑year holding period. The move aims to increase fiscal revenue and align crypto taxation with other financial instruments, but it could affect investor behavior and market dynamics in Germany’s growing crypto sector. No formal draft has been published yet, and the proposal is still under internal review.

What's next — scenarios

Base: Tax enacted as planned (50%)

Crypto gains held >12 months become taxable from 1 Jan 2027, raising effective tax rates for long‑term holders.

Upside: Tax delayed or softened (30%)

Implementation postponed beyond 2027 or exemptions retained for certain tokens, limiting immediate fiscal impact.

Downside: Stricter tax regime (20%)

Tax applied to short‑term gains (<12 months) as well, or a lower tax‑free threshold introduced, increasing burden on traders.

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Analysis — what this means

Likely next events

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