Polling shows a potential Reform UK–Restore Britain pact would likely hurt Reform UK's electoral prospects, raising uncertainty for UK politics
Executive summary: More in Commons polling reveals that a prospective pact between Reform UK and Rupert Lowe's Restore Britain would likely hinder Reform UK's electoral prospects. The result points to a possible electoral setback for Reform UK, affecting the UK's political landscape and creating uncertainty for policy‑dependent sectors.
Who is involved: Nigel Farage (Reform UK leader), Rupert Lowe (Restore Britain), and the polling agency More in Commons.
Likely next: Reform UK may reassess alliance options, focus on independent campaigning, and upcoming polls will test the impact of the polling warning.
New polling from More in Commons indicates that an alliance between Reform UK and Rupert Lowe's Restore Britain would hinder rather than help Reform UK's chances. The finding suggests that such a pact could alienate voters who view the two parties as ideologically incompatible, potentially reducing Reform UK's vote share. Consequently, Reform UK may need to reconsider its coalition strategy ahead of upcoming elections, while businesses and investors could face heightened political uncertainty in the UK.
Timeline
- — Deal or no deal: Farage faces polling hit from Restore Britain either way (Politico Europe)
Analysis — what this means
Sectors affected
- UK financial services