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UDI chief predicts 2027 French budget will likely be enacted via ordinance amid political deadlock

Executive summary: Hervé Marseille said that, given the proximity of the presidential election, a compromise on the 2027 French budget between political groups is unlikely, predicting the government may pass it by ordinance. An ordinance would allow the executive to adopt the budget without a parliamentary vote, raising concerns about democratic oversight and creating uncertainty for public‑sector spending and financial markets.

Who is involved: Hervé Marseille (UDI leader), French political parties preparing for the presidential election, and the French government responsible for the 2027 budget.

Likely next: If negotiations fail, the government may prepare an ordinance; otherwise, intensified parliamentary debates will continue in the coming weeks ahead of the election.

Hervé Marseille, president of the centrist UDI party, warned that with the presidential election months away, reaching a cross‑party agreement on the 2027 French budget appears impossible. He anticipates the government may have to resort to an ordinance to adopt the budget, bypassing a parliamentary vote. The statement highlights growing fiscal uncertainty as political factions remain far apart on spending and revenue measures.

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