EY forecasts modest Italian GDP expansion of +0.6% in 2026 and +0.7% in 2027, driven by domestic demand while external trade dragsExecutive summary: EY published a forecast that Italy’s gross domestic product will rise by 0.6% in 2026 and 0.7% in 2027, with inflation projected at 2.6% this year and 2.1% next year. The numbers signal a still‑fragile recovery, implying that policymakers may need to maintain supportive measures while watching external demand and price stability. EY analysts, Italian government officials, domestic businesses and consumers, and external trade partners. Market watchers will monitor forthcoming Eurozone inflation data, ECB policy signals, and any updates to EU recovery‑fund disbursements that could alter the growth trajectory.EY’s latest outlook for Italy shows a continuation of the modest recovery that began after the pandemic, with household consumption and business investment providing the main upward pressure. The forecast notes that foreign demand remains a headwind, keeping export‑related growth subdued. Inflation is expected to stay above the ECB’s target in 2026 before easing toward 2.1% in 2027, suggesting that price pressures will persist but gradually abate.Connected developmentsVLCC Earnings Near $470,000 a Day as Hormuz Hopes Drive Tanker FrenzyEl número de pisos turísticos cae un 11% a las puertas del verano, con 40.000 viviendas menos que un año antesAl Thani, l’emiro “che comprò Londra” ora si prende Villa CertosaLa Banque de France identifie des signaux financiers comparables à l’avant crise des subprimes de 2008Open the full case file on Beyond →
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