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UAE boosts oil output to near‑record levels after leaving OPEC, signaling independent supply expansion

Executive summary: UAE crude output climbed above 3.8 million barrels per day in June, its highest level in more than six years, following the country’s departure from OPEC. The increase shows the UAE’s willingness to pursue output growth outside OPEC constraints, potentially adding to global supply and influencing oil prices.

Who is involved: United Arab Emirates (particularly Abu Dhabi), OPEC (from which the UAE exited), and global oil markets.

Likely next: The UAE may continue to raise output, monitor market reaction, and OPEC+ could reassess its output policy at upcoming meetings.

The United Arab Emirates has raised crude production above 3.8 million barrels per day in June, the highest level in six years, shortly after its exit from OPEC. This move reflects Abu Dhabi’s strategy to convert spare capacity into exports despite softer global oil prices, highlighting a shift in cartel dynamics.

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