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Verstappen leads FP1 at Sepang as Ferrari battles for pace in high-heat conditions

Executive summary: Max Verstappen led the first practice session (FP1) at the Sepang circuit in Malaysia, followed by Mercedes and Ferrari. The session sets the technical baseline for the Malaysia Grand Prix, which is being held under extreme heat and humidity conditions.

Who is involved: Max Verstappen (Red Bull), Charles Leclerc (Ferrari), Mercedes drivers, Kimi Antonelli.

Likely next: The second practice session (FP2) and subsequent qualifying rounds under tropical weather conditions.

Max Verstappen set the quickest lap in the first practice session at Sepang, topping the timing sheets ahead of a tightly packed field. Charles Leclerc brought his Ferrari into fourth place, while Andrea Kimi Antonelli finished fifth for Mercedes, showing that the midfield battle remains intense despite the clear advantage held by the Red Bull driver. The session took place under extreme humidity and soaring temperatures, prompting the FIA to activate its heat‑hazard protocol and obliging teams to run additional cooling equipment on their cars. Ferrari used the opportunity to test a revised floor and diffuser configuration, signalling continued work on aerodynamic efficiency that could help mitigate the loss of downforce often experienced in hot, humid conditions. The heat‑hazard declaration also underscores the importance of effective thermal management, a factor that will influence tyre degradation rates and fuel consumption throughout the weekend. In the near term, teams are likely to prioritise cooling‑system reliability and fine‑tune their aerodynamic packages to sustain performance as the race approaches, with Sepang’s climate serving as a real‑world test of these developments.

What's next — scenarios

Base: Technical upgrades drive podium contention (60%)

Ferrari and Mercedes utilize their latest upgrades to challenge Red Bull in qualifying.

Downside: Weather-induced reliability issues (30%)

Extreme heat leads to multiple driver retirements or cooling system failures.

Upside: Total dominance by Red Bull (10%)

Verstappen maintains a gap exceeding 0.5s, making technical upgrades from rivals irrelevant.

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